Olduvaiblog: Musings on the coming collapse

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OLDUVAIBLOG HAS MOVED TO OLDUVAI.CA

Remember to now visit me at olduvai.ca. This site will no longer be updated as of April 10, 2014.

Olduvai’s Top Ten 2013

OLDUVAI’S TOP TEN

TOP TEN POSTS:

  1. Fukushima Debris Island (292)
  2. Collapse of Trust and Faith in the System (241)
  3. Summarizing the Known Rigged Markets (226)
  4. David Suzuki’s Fukushima Warning (221)
  5. 4 Articles: Grid Ex II-Nov 13/14 North American Grid Failure Exercise (165)
  6. How the NSA Hacks Your iPhone: Presenting Dropout Jeep (145)
  7. Peak Oil Responds: “The report of my death was an exaggeration.” (138)
  8. Jeremy Grantham: We have been conned. (110)
  9. Meet Saudi Arabia’s Prince Bandar Bin Sultan: The Puppetmaster Behind the Syrian War (94)
  10. Protesting Veterans Tear Down DC Barricades, Chant “Shut Down the White House” (89)

TOP INTERNAL LINKS FOLLOWED:

  1. Olduvai (4288)
  2. Home Page/Archives (1480)
  3. About (259)
  4. Topics (124)
  5. Readings (59)
  6. Media (55)
  7. Passage (54)
  8. Purchase (36)
  9. Book 2 Sneak Peek (28)

TOP TEN EXTERNAL LINKS FOLLOWED:

  1. Zerohedge (517)
  2. Olduvai (Friesen Press) (99)
  3. Huffington Post (98)
  4. Wikipedia (92)
  5. CBC (89)
  6. Al Jazeera (80)
  7. The Economic Collapse (73)
  8. Washington’s Blog (62)
  9. Kunstler (36)
  10. Bloomberg (34)

TOP TEN VIEWING COUNTRIES:

  1. United States (7553)
  2. Canada (6004)
  3. United Kingdom (511)
  4. Australia (253)
  5. Spain (171)
  6. Germany (151)
  7. France (122)
  8. Ireland (92)
  9. India (90)
  10. Mexico (84)

Fukushima

English: Internationally recognized symbol. De...

English: Internationally recognized symbol. Deutsch: Gefahrensymbol für Radioaktivität. Image:Radioactive.svg (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Just wanted to post a copy of an opinion piece I have sent to the Toronto Star for consideration. I do not expect it to be accepted, but one never knows…

Fukushima.
This word should be on everyone’s lips, yet when I raised the issue with a couple of very well-educated colleagues recently both were unaware of how serious the situation is. There may be a number of reasons for this lack of awareness of what some are referring to as “the greatest short-term threat to all of humanity.”
Forget global warming (anthropogenic or not), forget geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over finite fossil fuels, and forget the global economic depression. The events unfolding at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant may well overshadow all other crises.
There is a very real possibility that the situation is beyond the capability of humans to mitigate. The radioactive water leaking into the Pacific Ocean may be the least of our worries. No one knows where the nuclear cores are; containment of the radioactive fuel has been lost.
I don’t know which frustrates me more.
That our mainstream media outlets have been underplaying the issue—in fact, Project Censored referred to this as one of the top three underreported items in 2012; that Tokyo was awarded the Olympics given the radiation pouring out of Fukushima; that our ‘global leadership’ is not discussing the seriousness of the situation publicly; or, that most people are totally ignorant (perhaps purposely so) of the situation and its dangers.
When you know you can’t avoid the iceberg ahead in the water, is it better to wait until you actually have the collision before reacting or is it better to prepare to your best ability prior to the impact? I would think the latter but our ignorance may force us towards the former. I guess the answer, as to whether you believe this crisis to be ‘under control’ or not, depends on whether you trust the world’s leaders.
Do you?

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Radio Interview re Olduvai airing on local station Tuesday, May 21, 2013

I was interviewed this past Saturday by Catherine Sword of the Whitchurch-Stouffville Public Library and host of Whistle Radio’s Shelf Life show (FM 102.7, local area only). I was asked to perform two readings (hopefully the technician can edit out the errors I made–it’s been a long time since I had to do a read-a-loud) and a number of ‘off-the-cuff’ questions (NOTE: I was sent a list of possible topics for conversation and few of them were used so I was not as ‘prepared’ as I should/could have been and not sure the technician/editor can help me out in this part;).

An MP3 version should be available on the show’s website by the end of next week…I’ll send the link when it’s up if anyone is interested (although I probably shouldn’t be promoting this until I’ve heard what I sound like:)…

 

 

April 10, 2013 ‘Signs’

I ended my last post with the following paragraph:
“I often believe we are ‘pushing in the wrong direction’ as Donella Meadows laments in Thinking in Systems: A Primer: “…a clear leverage point:  growth. Not only population growth, but economic growth. Growth has costs as well as benefits and we typically don’t count the costs—among which are poverty and hunger, environmental destruction and so on—the whole list of problems we are trying to solve with growth! What is needed is much slower growth, very different kinds of growth and in some cases no growth or negative growth. The world leaders are correctly fixated on growth as the answer to all problems, but they’re pushing with all their might in the wrong direction,…leverage points are frequently not intuitive. Or if they are, we too often use them backward, systematically worsening whatever problems we are trying to solve” (emphasis added).”

And, I had to add this Gary Larson cartoon that epitomises this predicament:gifted

While it may not be ‘politically correct’ to criticize two of our most fundamental ‘entitlements’ (healthcare and education), I’m going to suggest an alternate perspective on them. Today, education, my current profession/career (I am a vice principal in an elementary public school) will be viewed.

If you have read my novel, Olduvai, you will know that I question the current curriculum. Here is a passage, during which one of the protagonists is presenting to a group of student teachers:
“I believe there is a perfect storm brewing, which could see a global, social transformation unlike any seen before on the planet. This change will likely hit full speed within the next decade or two, possibly sooner. The shift will be caused by two of our civilisation’s most fundamental systems: our monetary and energy systems.
“These two complex systems have coalesced and created an impact on a third system, our environment. These systems are three very large fronts being blown together by gale force winds and will be the perfect storm in the not too distant future.”
Sam noted that more of the students were beginning to show signs of increased interest, leaning forward and nodding now and again to certain points. He continued, gaining more confidence as time passed.
“If this storm is indeed on the horizon, then you as educators need to consider how best to prepare our future citizens. Will the future resemble the so-called knowledge economy the current system assumes? What if our current monetary system fails because of all the debt we’ve accumulated? What if the energy we rely so heavily upon begins contracting as predicted? What knowledge and skills will be most important in one of these alternate scenarios?” He paused to take another drink and check his time….(pp. 37-38).

You will note that it is the curriculum that I am questioning. Our current system is heavily engaged and committed to 21st century skills that, in general terms, focus on technology and related skills/knowledge. I have heard many pundits argue that if we are to solve the problems of today, we need better technology and more skilled/knowledgeable scientists, engineers, etc.. They follow the herd in this belief without viewing the situation more critically and questioning how our current system has led us to these predicaments. One could argue, for example, that it was the scientific/mechanical realisation of how steam energy could help to further our access to energy resources (coal and then petroleum) that allowed us to get where we are and ushered in all the ‘unintended consequences’ that go along with our journey (e.g. pollution, poverty, resource depletion, etc.); fast forward a century and we are now dealing with nuclear power and the deadly ‘fallout’ when ‘accidents’ occur (it’s important to note here that the crisis at Fukushima continues to grow).

I believe, however, that this is indeed the wrong path; that we are ‘pushing in the wrong direction.’ Not only are we exacerbating the resource depletion and environmental issues (think of all the energy and resources used to get a computer/tablet/smartphone from conception to customer, and the waste products from this production, that, ultimately, include the item itself), but our students will be ill-prepared for life outside of the current ‘paradigm’; a paradigm that may be on its last legs. A future of contracting energy is significantly different than one that is defined by growing energy resources. These different assumptions have huge implications for the education system’s curriculum.

Students in today’s schools learn little about gardening and farming, for example; however, history and prehistory show that societies that lack citizens capable of feeding themselves suffer tremendously during sociocultural transformations. People that rely on a complex system of trade (e.g.  ‘just-in-time’ delivery to avoid large inventories) to feed themselves could easily be looking as mass starvation during any significant upheaval.

When you step back and look at the education system from a different perspective, one that foretells of possible energy contraction and economic collapse, one can only conclude that we are leading our children on a path that suddenly ends with no preparation for what that entails; we are pushing upon them many skills/knowledge that could be quite useless in a post-carbon society, especially if the shift from our current world has been ‘apocolyptic’.

Author hopes to outsell Cusack movie character

Author hopes to outsell Cusack movie character.

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